COVID-19 Positivity Charges In keeping with Denver Neighborhood November Replace

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Today, November 20, Denver and at least fourteen other counties in the state will move to Level Red on the dial dashboard developed by the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment for the fight against COVID-19 – a standard no more than required is not an essential business freeze, but includes stricter restrictions such as a temporary end of dining in restaurants and a last call at 8 p.m.

The main data point that pushed Denver into this category was the two-week cumulative incidence of positive COVID-19 cases; the threshold to stay out of the red is 350, and the Mile High City is currently 1,183.3. But also important for the determination is the average positivity rate of two weeks – probably the least understood metric in connection with the novel coronavirus, but also one that offers at least a touch of good news.

How come? Right now, the majority of Denver’s 78 boroughs are not in Level Red for positivity – though all but three have passed the 5 percent mark that affects officials.

Because the positivity rate is often confused with the case rate, we asked Jennifer Fine, spokeswoman for Denver Public Health, who maintains the must-have page with the Denver COVID-19 data summary, to explain the difference. According to Fine, the fall rate is determined by “calculating the number of people infected with COVID-19 in a given time period relative to the total population of that geographic area. When you see a fall rate of 200 / 100,000, it means that out of 100,000 people living in that geographic area, 200 of them had COVID-19 during that particular time period.

Meanwhile, the positivity rate is calculated by “calculating the number of people who tested positive for COVID-19 in a given time period relative to the total number of people tested at the same time,” explains Fine. “If you see a 10 percent positivity, it means that during that specified time period, 10 percent of people who tested for COVID-19 tested positive and 90 percent tested negative.”

The World Health Organization views a positivity rate greater than 5 percent as a warning sign, and the only three-quarters of Denver measuring below that are Wellshire (4.3 percent), Central Park, formerly Stapleton (4.5 percent), and Central Business District, also known as CBD (4.8 percent).

The CDPHE considers a county level red if the positivity rate exceeds 15 percent, and Denver as a whole is just below that line at 12.3 percent – and 56 of 78 boroughs are also below the 15 percent level. The problem is that positivity rates are astronomical in the remaining 22 neighborhoods, ranging from 16.0 percent in Bear Valley to 28.7 percent in Valverde, the total of which is likely to be increased by the large number of severely affected nursing homes in the area.

An important note: a city’s positivity rate doesn’t have to be negative for the CDPHE to push it into that area. In fact, the current CDPHE standard for the level red positivity rate is “no limit”. Instead, the positivity rate is considered in accordance with the two-week cumulative incidence of positive cases. But the fact that the positivity rate for most of Denver is shy of the red zone provides a glimmer of hope that the dire situation the city is in is not necessarily a permanent one.

The Denver Neighborhood Positivity Rate Map November 20, 2020.

The Denver Neighborhood Positivity Rate Map November 20, 2020.

Here are the two-week average positivity rates for each Denver neighborhood, listed in ascending order:

Wellshire
Testing positivity 4.3 percent

Central Park
4.5 percent test positivity

CBD
4.8 percent test positivity

Rosedale
Testing positivity 5.3 percent

Union Station
5.7 percent test positivity

Cory – Merrill
6.3 percent test positivity

city ​​Park
6.5 percent test positivity

Congress park
6.5 percent test positivity

Montclair
6.5 percent test positivity

hill
6.6 percent test positivity

university
6.9 percent test positivity

City Park West
6.9 percent test positivity

Healthy
7.2 percent test positivity

spear
7.2 percent test positivity

Indian brook
7.2 percent test positivity

Civic Center
7.8 percent test positivity

University Hill
8.1 percent test positivity

North Park Hill
8.2 percent test positivity

Cheesman Park
8.3 percent test positivity

South Park Hill
8.6 percent test positivity

Flat park
8.8 percent test positivity

Goldsmith
8.8 percent test positivity

Southmoor Park
8.8 percent test positivity

Baker
9.3 percent test positivity

Five points
Test positivity 9.7 percent

Lowry field
Test positivity 9.7 percent

Washington Park
Test positivity 9.8 percent

Away Logan
Test positivity 9.8 percent

Hampden South
9.9 percent test positivity

Northeast Park Hill
Test positivity 10.2 percent

Highlands
Test positivity 10.2 percent

Berkeley
Test positivity 10.3 percent

Virginia Village
Testing positivity 10.4 percent

Regis
Testing positivity 10.4 percent

Country club
11.1 percent test positivity

Chaffee Park
11.1 percent test positivity

Heavenland
11.1 percent test positivity

Capitol
11.1 percent test positivity

Western highlands
11.2 percent test positivity

Whittier
11.3 percent test positivity

Washington Park West
11.3 percent test positivity

Clayton
11.6 percent test positivity

Washington Virginia Vale
11.7 percent test positivity

Sloan’s lake
Testing positivity 11.9 percent

Sunny side
12.1 percent test positivity

Overland
Test positivity 12.2 percent

University park
Testing positivity 12.5 percent

North Capitol Hill
Testing positivity 12.6 percent

Belcaro
Testing positivity 12.8 percent

DAY
Testing positivity 12.8 percent

East Colfax
Testing positivity 13.0 percent

Hampden
Testing positivity 13.7 percent

Kirschbach
14.1 percent test positivity

Jefferson Park
Testing positivity 14.2 percent

Lincoln Park
Testing positivity 14.3 percent

Windsor
Testing positivity 14.8 percent

Bear Valley
Testing positivity 16.0 percent

Harvey Park South
Testing positivity 16.5 percent

Marston
Testing positivity 17.7 percent

West Colfax
Testing positivity 17.7 percent

Auraria
Testing positivity 18.5 percent

Cole
Testing positivity 19.3 percent

Gateway Green Valley Ranch
Testing positivity 19.4 percent

Harvey Park
Testing positivity 19.4 percent

Elyria Swansea
Testing positivity 19.6 percent

Sun Valley
Testing positivity 19.6 percent

kennedy
Testing positivity 19.8 percent

Mar lee
Test positivity 20.0 percent

Globeville
Testing positivity 21.1 percent

Villa park
Testing positivity 21.1 percent

Ruby hill
Testing positivity 22.2 percent

Barnum
Testing positivity 22.7 percent

Athmar Park
Testing positivity 22.8 percent

College View-South Platte
23.6 percent test positivity

Barnum West
24.3 percent test positivity

Montbello
Testing positivity 25.3 percent

Westwood
26.6 percent test positivity

Valverde
Testing positivity 28.7 percent

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Michael Roberts has been writing for Westword since October 1990, where he worked as a music editor and media columnist. It currently covers everything from breaking news and politics to sports and stories that defy categorization.

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